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By many factors the Chinese manufacturing industry development situation serious!
Category：Enterprise News
Publish：2012-11-21
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Manufacturing industry is economy of our country countryman "backbone ", but also the impact of the economic entity to key elements. September 12th Summer Davos forum held in Tianjin period, domestic and foreign experts said, by the world economic downturn, the domestic manufacturing industry is low-level repeat construction, rising costs to the enterprise flow and other factors, China's manufacturing industry is facing growth rate down, demand slowdown in the short term it is difficult to change.
Manufacturing growth down enterprises difficult "for the winter "
In the past August, enterprise of our country manufacturing industry still did not cast off predicament of " winter". Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index ( PMI ) is 49.2%, which is the index fell below 50% for the first time since November last year, a record low for 9 months. This data reflecting China's economy downward pressure is still larger, manufacturing industry is in whole muscle contraction.
Not only China, India at the same time PMI hit its lowest level since 9 months, the Japanese record since 2011 the lowest level since April. The eurozone manufacturing further declines in August, manufacturing PMI fell to 45.1%, the euro area countries Germany, France core manufacturing PMI were lower than 50%. Rio Tinto Alcan Division Group China managing director Tan Bingwen thinks, manufacturing industry has become a global trend downward, short-term there is little signs of recovery.
But ministry and social science as the early release of " 2012 China industrial economy moves first half of the year report " analysis, the first half of the year, including steel, non-ferrous metals manufacturing, building materials and chemical raw materials, industrial production situation continued concern, highlights the problem of excess production capacity, industry has even in the industry of the overall loss of the edge. Equipment manufacturing industry into the hitherto unknown to the depressed state, the main products have as many as 1/3 output compared to the same period decreased to some extent. From overall look, since this year the majority of manufacturing industry production appears of different level drop year-on-year growth rate.
During the forum, some respondents also revealed the helpless. Automotive Group Chairman Xu Heyi said, "third industrial revolution coming and developed and industrialized process, the Chinese manufacturing industry has formed strong challenge. The case of automobile industry, the joint venture brand is still dominant, independent brands accounted for comparing two years before slightly. China the technology of manufacturing industry hollow problem has become the greatest risk, like auto gearbox, Chinese technology in the field of almost zero.
He also said, the coastal part of the business downturn, mainly due to the international market, those enterprises are the vast majority of export-oriented, export oriented products. Coastal enterprises, industry is in the transfer to the Midwest, this is a trend, but the key is to look at the product of this enterprise and market in which. If transferred to center-west, logistics, decision cost are greatly increased, the manpower cost decreased only slightly, then the comprehensive cost is not competitive.
Asian Manufacturing Association CEO Luo Jun that this year, China manufacturing industry interior environment is not worse than in previous years, in contrast with the expansion of domestic demand further, " Twelfth Five-Year Plan" many rules are introduced, this should bring Chinese economy new round rise, but in the external environment continues to deteriorate under the influence of the limited role. In the past, China manufacturing difficulties is based mainly on the pressure on resources and the environment and eliminate backward production capacity, the international export situation is basically like this suddenly and concentration.
The domestic two big factors in Chinese manufacturing industry in a predicament
Davos expert inductive thinks, Chinese manufacturing industry is faced with hitherto unknown pressure and domestic two factors are inseparable:
One is as our country factor of production is low end times, manufacturing outflow to the market pattern formation in shock.
Our country manufacturing industry rely on manpower, land and other low cost profit era already not in. Data shows, 1998 to 2008, China's industrial profits grow 30.5% on average, labor remuneration year all grow 9.9% only, the rising cost of labor has become an inevitable trend.
Net Qin mobile limited company chairman Lin Yu said, according to his observation, Beijing white-collar labor costs and Taipei is not much difference between a month, mostly in 10000 yuan of above, this does not include the social security expenditure. Human costs accounted for almost half of the total cost of the company. Decades of Chinese demographic dividend time has past.
Luo Jun said, the world financial crisis, Europe and the United States to recognize the importance of entity economy, put forward in succession " to return to the manufacturing era " slogan, is based mainly on Europe and the United States national manufacturing industry in the domestic proportion drops considerably, a large number of manufacturers have built factories and R & D base in overseas, resulting in a large number of industrial workers losing their jobs. Starbucks, Ford Motor, caterpillar, - Kai Dayton company has set up factories in China enterprises choose part or full capacity to move back to the United States of america.
At the same time, some of the manufacturing sector outflows into low cost more emerging economies, and China to compete, the Multi-National Corporation will capacity from China to Southeast Asia transfer has become a trend. In the case of Adidas, it closed in Suzhou in China only have their factories, replace sb. Transfer to the salary of only about 1/3 Chinese workers in Southeast asia.
Two for all since the industry is long-term low level operation, industry profit is low, repeat capacity to occupy.
Tianjin Port Group Chairman Yu Rumin said, China's manufacturing industry in the world manufacturing industry chain downstream, manufactured goods are mostly low technology content, low added value, the price is not high, in the international trade interest distribution at a disadvantage.
In the "third industrial revolution" has become a hot topic. Foreign scholars believe that, in the " third industrial revolution" in China will be left behind, Europe and the United States to dominate the global economy development. The reason is that Europe and the United States attaches great importance to green the sources of energy and renewable energy development and utilization, China in this regard seriously enough. Luo Jun said, China's manufacturing industry is heavily dependent on traditional energy, but the efficiency is only 1/10 of the United States, the situation is grim.
Manufacturing industry declining short-term hard to change
From the domestic and foreign development environment, current our country manufacturing industry faces a situation than the 2008 international financial crisis more complicated. Shrinking external demand and demand slowdown interwoven makes manufacturing downward pressure increase.
Luo Jun thinks, with Europe and the United States economic downturn, the global economic growth is lack of power, Chinese manufacturing industry export situation will still be serious. Is expected this year, foreign trade growth is about 10% last year, and this number is 22.5%.
Royal Bank of Holland Group Chairman and chief executive Sebethman said, although it was long and low cost of China's manufacturing industry is the strong point, but China will inevitably enter into innovation and development stage, and the development of science and technology and innovation is the most important. " In a predictable period, low cost labor intensive still can grow somewhat, but gradually toward green, energy saving direction. In Japan, Europe, the United States of America that has appeared. "
French Lehman - Nissan Alliance chairman and chief executive Carlos Genn said, China's manufacturing industry is facing the challenge of traditional advantage. For example, Chinese automobile industry production total cost than Mexico, Southeast Asia and other regions more.
He expresses at the same time, Europe has a lot of creative technology of manufacturing industry, but not implemented. If China can apply technology and implementation of combined well, so will not need to worry about the problem of productivity.
With the energy pressure continued and " third industrial revolution" approximation, experts generally agree that the manufacturing industry will be increasingly and information fusion, intelligent becomes more and more important.
In addition, the manufacturing of green development requirements will be getting higher and higher, from design to manufacturing process, consumption, must through the green concept, especially the promotion of energy-saving products, energy-saving technology, energy-saving technology, promote low-carbon and recycling economy. In the new industrial revolution under the influence, manufacturing regression will reshape national competitiveness, become employment, environmental improvement and other social issues important export.
Manufacturing growth down enterprises difficult "for the winter "
In the past August, enterprise of our country manufacturing industry still did not cast off predicament of " winter". Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index ( PMI ) is 49.2%, which is the index fell below 50% for the first time since November last year, a record low for 9 months. This data reflecting China's economy downward pressure is still larger, manufacturing industry is in whole muscle contraction.
Not only China, India at the same time PMI hit its lowest level since 9 months, the Japanese record since 2011 the lowest level since April. The eurozone manufacturing further declines in August, manufacturing PMI fell to 45.1%, the euro area countries Germany, France core manufacturing PMI were lower than 50%. Rio Tinto Alcan Division Group China managing director Tan Bingwen thinks, manufacturing industry has become a global trend downward, short-term there is little signs of recovery.
But ministry and social science as the early release of " 2012 China industrial economy moves first half of the year report " analysis, the first half of the year, including steel, non-ferrous metals manufacturing, building materials and chemical raw materials, industrial production situation continued concern, highlights the problem of excess production capacity, industry has even in the industry of the overall loss of the edge. Equipment manufacturing industry into the hitherto unknown to the depressed state, the main products have as many as 1/3 output compared to the same period decreased to some extent. From overall look, since this year the majority of manufacturing industry production appears of different level drop year-on-year growth rate.
During the forum, some respondents also revealed the helpless. Automotive Group Chairman Xu Heyi said, "third industrial revolution coming and developed and industrialized process, the Chinese manufacturing industry has formed strong challenge. The case of automobile industry, the joint venture brand is still dominant, independent brands accounted for comparing two years before slightly. China the technology of manufacturing industry hollow problem has become the greatest risk, like auto gearbox, Chinese technology in the field of almost zero.
He also said, the coastal part of the business downturn, mainly due to the international market, those enterprises are the vast majority of export-oriented, export oriented products. Coastal enterprises, industry is in the transfer to the Midwest, this is a trend, but the key is to look at the product of this enterprise and market in which. If transferred to center-west, logistics, decision cost are greatly increased, the manpower cost decreased only slightly, then the comprehensive cost is not competitive.
Asian Manufacturing Association CEO Luo Jun that this year, China manufacturing industry interior environment is not worse than in previous years, in contrast with the expansion of domestic demand further, " Twelfth Five-Year Plan" many rules are introduced, this should bring Chinese economy new round rise, but in the external environment continues to deteriorate under the influence of the limited role. In the past, China manufacturing difficulties is based mainly on the pressure on resources and the environment and eliminate backward production capacity, the international export situation is basically like this suddenly and concentration.
The domestic two big factors in Chinese manufacturing industry in a predicament
Davos expert inductive thinks, Chinese manufacturing industry is faced with hitherto unknown pressure and domestic two factors are inseparable:
One is as our country factor of production is low end times, manufacturing outflow to the market pattern formation in shock.
Our country manufacturing industry rely on manpower, land and other low cost profit era already not in. Data shows, 1998 to 2008, China's industrial profits grow 30.5% on average, labor remuneration year all grow 9.9% only, the rising cost of labor has become an inevitable trend.
Net Qin mobile limited company chairman Lin Yu said, according to his observation, Beijing white-collar labor costs and Taipei is not much difference between a month, mostly in 10000 yuan of above, this does not include the social security expenditure. Human costs accounted for almost half of the total cost of the company. Decades of Chinese demographic dividend time has past.
Luo Jun said, the world financial crisis, Europe and the United States to recognize the importance of entity economy, put forward in succession " to return to the manufacturing era " slogan, is based mainly on Europe and the United States national manufacturing industry in the domestic proportion drops considerably, a large number of manufacturers have built factories and R & D base in overseas, resulting in a large number of industrial workers losing their jobs. Starbucks, Ford Motor, caterpillar, - Kai Dayton company has set up factories in China enterprises choose part or full capacity to move back to the United States of america.
At the same time, some of the manufacturing sector outflows into low cost more emerging economies, and China to compete, the Multi-National Corporation will capacity from China to Southeast Asia transfer has become a trend. In the case of Adidas, it closed in Suzhou in China only have their factories, replace sb. Transfer to the salary of only about 1/3 Chinese workers in Southeast asia.
Two for all since the industry is long-term low level operation, industry profit is low, repeat capacity to occupy.
Tianjin Port Group Chairman Yu Rumin said, China's manufacturing industry in the world manufacturing industry chain downstream, manufactured goods are mostly low technology content, low added value, the price is not high, in the international trade interest distribution at a disadvantage.
In the "third industrial revolution" has become a hot topic. Foreign scholars believe that, in the " third industrial revolution" in China will be left behind, Europe and the United States to dominate the global economy development. The reason is that Europe and the United States attaches great importance to green the sources of energy and renewable energy development and utilization, China in this regard seriously enough. Luo Jun said, China's manufacturing industry is heavily dependent on traditional energy, but the efficiency is only 1/10 of the United States, the situation is grim.
Manufacturing industry declining short-term hard to change
From the domestic and foreign development environment, current our country manufacturing industry faces a situation than the 2008 international financial crisis more complicated. Shrinking external demand and demand slowdown interwoven makes manufacturing downward pressure increase.
Luo Jun thinks, with Europe and the United States economic downturn, the global economic growth is lack of power, Chinese manufacturing industry export situation will still be serious. Is expected this year, foreign trade growth is about 10% last year, and this number is 22.5%.
Royal Bank of Holland Group Chairman and chief executive Sebethman said, although it was long and low cost of China's manufacturing industry is the strong point, but China will inevitably enter into innovation and development stage, and the development of science and technology and innovation is the most important. " In a predictable period, low cost labor intensive still can grow somewhat, but gradually toward green, energy saving direction. In Japan, Europe, the United States of America that has appeared. "
French Lehman - Nissan Alliance chairman and chief executive Carlos Genn said, China's manufacturing industry is facing the challenge of traditional advantage. For example, Chinese automobile industry production total cost than Mexico, Southeast Asia and other regions more.
He expresses at the same time, Europe has a lot of creative technology of manufacturing industry, but not implemented. If China can apply technology and implementation of combined well, so will not need to worry about the problem of productivity.
With the energy pressure continued and " third industrial revolution" approximation, experts generally agree that the manufacturing industry will be increasingly and information fusion, intelligent becomes more and more important.
In addition, the manufacturing of green development requirements will be getting higher and higher, from design to manufacturing process, consumption, must through the green concept, especially the promotion of energy-saving products, energy-saving technology, energy-saving technology, promote low-carbon and recycling economy. In the new industrial revolution under the influence, manufacturing regression will reshape national competitiveness, become employment, environmental improvement and other social issues important export.
